Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.181166 4.483941 4.814603 5.205802 5.660424 6.177839 6.819911
2025-05-25 3.682908 4.071311 4.521486 5.092216 5.812880 6.717799 7.986406
2025-06-01 3.358600 3.801809 4.340592 5.064898 6.050916 7.414729 9.600351
2025-06-08 3.115768 3.595951 4.203427 5.063153 6.318438 8.232652 11.804102
2025-06-15 2.941138 3.452941 4.124069 5.120821 6.681081 9.324616 15.280683
2025-06-22 2.733234 3.244354 3.930481 4.983297 6.714765 9.894524 18.359107
2025-06-29 2.535042 3.031197 3.707810 4.769579 6.578246 10.107583 20.941494
2025-07-06 2.395887 2.887110 3.568376 4.663913 6.605280 10.675931 25.839255
2025-07-13 2.355831 2.875566 3.617032 4.860742 7.227327 12.941317 48.134570
2025-07-20 2.290643 2.822590 3.597650 4.940615 7.647893 15.071864 113.418223
2025-07-27 2.274667 2.838284 3.683076 5.214277 8.573888 19.986280 NaN
2025-08-03 2.243410 2.828314 3.725981 5.417533 9.430388 26.703908 NaN
2025-08-10 2.163451 2.748342 3.661953 5.435695 9.918945 34.282232 NaN
2025-08-17 2.048706 2.609349 3.490412 5.218903 9.689199 36.451402 NaN
2025-08-24 1.965107 2.514213 3.386334 5.129126 9.827998 44.132797 NaN
2025-08-31 1.896461 2.438489 3.309531 5.086681 10.116722 58.861715 NaN
2025-09-07 1.844817 2.386362 3.269123 5.117069 10.687044 100.672676 NaN
2025-09-14 1.770542 2.294448 3.152168 4.961990 10.527618 123.125407 NaN
2025-09-21 1.691922 2.192342 3.011412 4.738916 10.045379 115.914912 NaN
2025-09-28 1.634551 2.121958 2.923302 4.627360 9.973525 152.799928 NaN
2025-10-05 1.622461 2.123428 2.963341 4.816081 11.232640 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 1.595817 2.099709 2.955541 4.890961 12.093774 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 1.592747 2.114297 3.019600 5.156713 14.259488 NaN NaN